All categories
caret-down
cartcart

The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable

 
Only 2 items left in stock
The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable

Description

THE BLACK SWAN is a concept that will change the way you look at the world. Black Swans underlie almost everything, from the rise of religions, to events in our own lives. A Black Swan is a highly improbable event with three principle characteristics: it is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random and more predictable than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. Why do we always ignore the phenomenon of Black Swans until after they occur? As Taleb reveals, we are hard-wired not to truly estimate risk, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the 'impossible'. In this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don't know, and shows us how to face the world.

Product details

EAN/ISBN:
9780141034591
Edition:
Re-issue
Medium:
Paperback
Number of pages:
480
Publication date:
2008-02-28
Publisher:
Penguin
Languages:
english
EAN/ISBN:
9780141034591
Edition:
Re-issue
Medium:
Paperback
Number of pages:
480
Publication date:
2008-02-28
Publisher:
Penguin
Languages:
english

Shipping

laposte
The edition supplied may vary.
Condition
Condition
Learn more
€6.49
available immediately
New €14.00 You save €7.51 (53%)
€6.49
incl. VAT, plus  Shipping costs
paypalvisamastercardamexcartebleue
  • Icon badgeChecked second-hand items
  • Icon packageFree shipping from €19
  • Icon vanWith you in 2-4 working days